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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $745 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $780 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $775 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100d | ppobb1123 | $760 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 100d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $760 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,357 | +$35 +1.0% | 4 |
| 100d | loveheng | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,979 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 100d | artemiss123 | $745 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$314 +2.1% | 5 |
| 100d | hermesss1232 fills | $745 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $18,085 | +$805 +4.4% | 5 |
| 100d | kodeoed4 fills | $765 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,856 | +$90 +1.0% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $745 means the market gives it about 100%.