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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $745 | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113d | SkyLove7 | $750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,184 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 113d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,860 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 113d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,035 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 114d | bot258 | $770 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 114d | $770 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,307 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 114d | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 2?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $745 means the market gives it about 0%.