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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $745 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95d | bot258 | $740 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,455 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 95d | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,748 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 95d | ppobb1123 | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d | cheapstox524 | $740 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$94 +7.3% | 6 |
| 96d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,667 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d | kodeoed | $755 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$9 +0.8% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 20?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $745 means the market gives it about 0%.