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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $750 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94d | ppobb1123 | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,660 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 94d | suyizi | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 94d |  VdeVolsa | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 94d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,186 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 94d | loveheng | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,010 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 94d | VdeVolsa | $720 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,542 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 94d | spxtest | $720 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,618 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 95d | kodeoed | $725 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,065 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
bjprolo5 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 21?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $750 means the market gives it about 0%.