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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $740 | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87d | lIllIlllIlIl | $745 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,420 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 87d | hermesss1232 fills | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,612 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 87d | spxtest2 fills | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,780 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 87d | kodeoed3 fills | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,015 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 87d | kodeoed | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 87d | ppobb11233 fills | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,764 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 87d | suyizi2 fills | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 87d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,361 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 87d | loveheng | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 87d | cheapstox5242 fills | $745 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,583 | +$439 +12% | 8 |
| 87d | cheapstox524 | $740 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$282 +18% | 9 |
| 87d | kodeoed | $750 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,843 | +$103 +5.6% | 6 |
| 87d | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,647 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 28?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $740 means the market gives it about 100%.