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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $725 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 0% | −95 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $735 | 0% | −81 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86d | ppobb1123 | $745 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 86d | hermesss1233 fills | $745 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,536 | +$134 +2.4% | 5 |
| 86d | hermesss1233 fills | $725 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,243 | +$202 +6.2% | 6 |
| 86d | kodeoed3 fills | $725 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,550 | +$183 +4.0% | 5 |
| 86d | kodeoed3 fills | $745 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,286 | +$175 +4.1% | 5 |
bjprolo5 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 29?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $725 means the market gives it about 100%.