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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $750 | 100% | +84 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106d |  TheUltimateNash69 | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 106d | ppobb1123 | $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,640 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 106d | Unfolded-Keeper | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,208 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 106d | kodeoed | $735 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,766 | +$22 +1.3% | 4 |
| 106d | kodeoed | $755 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | +$53 +2.1% | 5 |
| 106d |  VdeVolsa | $735 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | +$50 +3.7% | 5 |
| 106d | jjjjjsda | $735 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | −$74 −3.9% | — |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 9?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $750 means the market gives it about 100%.
