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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $740 | 100% | +64 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $705 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133d | suyizi | $715 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,660 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 133d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | $715 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,623 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 133d | loveheng | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 133d | hermesss123 | $735 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$43 +3.1% | 5 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $740 means the market gives it about 100%.