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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $755 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $775 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $785 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $780 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141d | SkyLove7 | $745 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,024 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 141d |  VdeVolsa | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,775 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 141d | VdeVolsa | $740 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,208 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 141d |  Gurupolimarket | $775 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,369 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 141d | Gurupolimarket | $780 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 141d | Gurupolimarket | $770 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,166 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 141d | kodeoed | $735 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,949 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 4?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $755 means the market gives it about 100%.
