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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $735 | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d | Private-Pantologist | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,004 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d |  olegs | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,235 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d | olegs | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,392 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d | hermesss123 | $750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,702 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d | hermesss123 | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,194 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d | hermesss123 | $710 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,553 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d |  hellobrother | $710 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,553 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 165d | trrthtr | $710 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 |
| 165d | hfjghtrr546 | $710 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 165d | fsde43fsed | $710 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
professiotonal150 shares
bjprolo55 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $735 means the market gives it about 100%.