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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $740 | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163d | cryptothan | $740 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,042 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d | jjjjjsda | $745 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d |  TheUltimateNash69 | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,219 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 163d | cryptothan | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,753 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d | Sinjid | $740 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 163d | wakakakakakaka | $730 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.1% | 5 |
| 163d | pennedreadful2 fills | $735 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,503 | +$981 +22% | 9 |
bjprolo55 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $740 means the market gives it about 100%.