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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $740 | 0% | −92 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −68 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $770 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161d | C03B | $740 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,692 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | C03B | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,214 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | C03B | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | C03B | $730 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,345 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | C03B | $750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,348 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d |  haerder | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,116 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | haerder | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,439 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | Sin3000 | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,716 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | jjjjjsda | $735 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | +$392 +18% | 9 |
| 161d | twerk4hv | $725 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,859 | +$50 +1.0% | 4 |
| 161d |  HorribleWork | $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,928 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | HorribleWork | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,930 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | cryptothan | $740 | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | +$2,240 +124% | 15 |
| 161d | gfdrhgd | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,766 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 161d | qwe12332 | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,883 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 161d | 4536rt | $750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$21 +1.2% | 4 |
| 161d | dgsdeffgrd4tre | $750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,877 | +$23 +1.2% | 4 |
| 161d | 4565647 | $730 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | +$133 +8.0% | 6 |
| 161d |  olegs | $770 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 161d | pennedreadful | $730 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $9,295 | +$700 +7.5% | 6 |
| 161d | Private-Pantologist | $730 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,363 | +$125 +5.3% | 6 |
| 161d | DualDelta | $745 | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | −$496 −28% | — |
| 161d | olegs | $765 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,268 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 162d | cryptothan | $745 | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$1,111 +108% | 12 |
| 162d | DualDelta | $745 | BuyNo32¢ → 100¢ | $2,368 | +$5,032 +212% | 15 |
bjprolo115 shares
SHOTHERS100 shares
.heart24 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 15?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $740 means the market gives it about 0%.