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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $735 | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158d |  hellobrother | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,117 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d |  olegs | $745 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,184 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | Private-Pantologist | $745 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,400 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | moonknight3 | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | Sinjid | $740 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,400 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | suyizi | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,167 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | hellobrother | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,715 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | suyizi | $720 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,204 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | suyizi | $750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,648 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 158d | sdhyky | $735 | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,035 | −$1,035 −100% | 13 |
| 159d | cryptothan2 fills | $735 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,016 | −$1,083 −36% | — |
| 159d | kodeoed | $745 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$21 +1.1% | 4 |
| 159d | FHCHL | $750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 159d | FHCHL | $745 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | +$18 +1.4% | 4 |
| 159d | nannantszj | $760 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 159d | 4564564655 | $745 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$82 +8.1% | 6 |
| 159d | 456re5trt4 | $745 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$82 +8.1% | 6 |
| 159d | 0x25ad…bda0 | $745 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$150 +8.1% | 6 |
| 159d | cryptothan3 fills | $735 | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $3,920 | +$4,013 +102% | 12 |
| 159d |  KuromiEngines | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,345 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
SHOTHERS563 shares
Lavincey68 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $735 means the market gives it about 100%.