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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $740 | 100% | +86 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156d | twerk4hv | $740 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,432 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 156d | twerk4hv | $740 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,964 | +$40 +1.0% | 4 |
| 156d |  haerder | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,163 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 156d | cryptothan | $740 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | +$1,421 +58% | 14 |
| 156d | hermesss123 | $730 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,282 | +$55 +2.4% | 5 |
| 156d | rthyg4 | $745 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,180 | +$115 +5.3% | 5 |
| 156d | fhght6 | $745 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$80 +5.3% | 5 |
| 156d | jjjjjsda | $735 | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | +$1,078 +100% | — |
| 156d | cryptothan | $735 | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,249 | −$1,249 −100% | 12 |
| 157d |  headsh0t | $730 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$631 +46% | 12 |
| 157d | cryptothan | $735 | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | +$2,212 +170% | 13 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 20?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $740 means the market gives it about 100%.
