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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $745 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d | twerk4hv | $745 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,355 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | cryptothan | $745 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 154d | twerk4hv | $745 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,129 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 154d | suyizi | $735 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,236 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 154d | suyizi | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,005 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 154d | hermesss123 | $740 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | +$23 +1.0% | 4 |
| 155d | cryptothan | $745 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$1,392 +100% | 12 |
HorribleWork326 shares
Lavincey67 shares
ebatcripto8 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 22?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $745 means the market gives it about 100%.