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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $720 | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $725 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $730 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $705 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $700 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $735 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $695 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 172d |  CoinTrick | $715 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 172d | Private-Pantologist | $725 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,531 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 173d |  Eric018 | $720 | BuyNo39¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | +$3,657 +156% | 14 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 4?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $720 means the market gives it about 0%.