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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $735 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $730 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $725 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $740 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $710 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $715 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $705 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $720 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d |  olegs | $725 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,321 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d | olegs | $735 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,816 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d | olegs | $755 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d | olegs | $745 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,169 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d | olegs | $740 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,748 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 169d | pennedreadful2 fills | $735 | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $2,925 | −$3,003 −103% | — |
| 170d | pennedreadful | $735 | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $3,348 | +$3,760 +112% | 13 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 7?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $735 means the market gives it about 0%.
