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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $770 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $765 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $775 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $760 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $780 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $785 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $750 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $790 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $740 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 | $770 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,820 | +$180 +3.1% | 5 |
| 3d | hermesss123 | $765 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,907 | +$93 +3.2% | 5 |
| 3d | kodeoed | $765 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,907 | +$93 +3.2% | 5 |
| 3d | kodeoed | $755 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 5 |
| 3d | hermesss123 | $755 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 5 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 20?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $770 means the market gives it about 0%.