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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $785 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $780 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $790 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $775 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $750 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $745 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $755 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $795 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $770 | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $760 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $765 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d | kodeoed2 fills | $785 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,465 | +$35 +1.0% | 4 |
| 17d | hermesss123 | $785 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 17d | hermesss123 | $755 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 18d |  olegs | $790 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$52 +4.5% | 5 |
| 18d | olegs | $755 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$64 +5.6% | 5 |
| 18d | olegs | $795 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$28 +2.4% | 5 |
| 18d | 8tSnjSWgyo26Gxt | $745 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$26 +2.4% | 4 |
| 18d | Needy-Antelope | $750 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$65 +5.4% | 5 |
bjprolo10 sharesS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $785 means the market gives it about 0%.