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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d |  syncope | Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,265 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 632d |  GollumGekko | Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,312 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 649d | Mara | Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | +$93 +8.7% | 4 |
| 651d |  Wickier3 fills | Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $7,562 | −$748 −9.9% | — |
| 658d | Wickier | Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $6,586 | +$911 +14% | 4 |
TomDean125 sharesThe Starmer government has come under criticism for not investigating gangs notorious for committing sexual abuse in the United Kingdom over the last decade. You can read more about that here: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4xnv02nr0o This market will resolve to "Yes" if a UK government led by Keir Starmer formally announces a new national public inquiry specifically into these "grooming gangs" before January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the Starmer government actually begins the investigation within the market timeframe. If Starmer is out as UK Prime Minister for any length of time before such an announcement is made, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Starmer and the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.