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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fátima Tardío | 100% | +19 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Enrique Leaño | 0% | +1 pts | +13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Horacio Poppe | 0% | +4 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wilber Chocamani | 0% | +2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López | 0% | +9 pts | +4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Franz Tata García | 0% | −3 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Juan Antonio Jesús | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cecilia Calani | 0% | +4 pts | +3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Richard Moscoso | 0% | +12 pts | +21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hebert Marcelo Terrazas | 0% | +5 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pablo Arízaga | 0% | −3 pts | +7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristian Sanabria | 0% | +10 pts | +24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214d |  GroyperFinancialServices | Fátima Tardío | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,342 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 215d |  Opium4 | Horacio Poppe | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$11 +1.0% | 10 |
Lavincey69 sharesThe Sucre mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Fátima Tardío means the market gives it about 100%.