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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 650d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Sunset wildfire burns 1k or more acres by Sunday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 652d |  AgricultureSecretary | Sunset wildfire burns 1k or more acres by Sunday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$12 +1.2% | 4 |
| 652d |  DickTurbin | Sunset wildfire burns 1k or more acres by Sunday? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,941 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 652d |  Slowroasted | Sunset wildfire burns 1k or more acres by Sunday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 652d | DickTurbin | Sunset wildfire burns 1k or more acres by Sunday? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,234 | +$193 +8.6% | 5 |
| 652d |  DancingonMarshmellos | Sunset wildfire burns 1k or more acres by Sunday? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$169 +12% | 6 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Sunset fire in California burns 1,000 or more acres by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.