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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75k–100k | 100% | +57 pts | +90 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <75k | 0% | −40 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100k–125k | 0% | −1 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 125k–150k | 0% | −1 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 150k–175k | 0% | −2 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ≥175k | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412d | Grinder123 | <75k | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $1,074 | −$1,074 −100% | 6 |
Justin Bieber's new album 'Swag II' is scheduled to be released on September 4, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber's new album 'Swag II' has less than 75,000 in sales for the chart date of 'Swag II' debut week, on the finalized version of hitsdailydouble.com's "HITS TOP 50" list. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the figure in the column titled "Activity" once the named list is finalized. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming. If the chart specified herein is rendered permanently unavailable or does not list 'Swag II', another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 75k–100k means the market gives it about 100%.