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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic (SRB) | 100% | +71 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | 0% | −70 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Alexander Zverev (GER) | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Rafael Nadal (ESP) | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Casper Ruud (NOR) | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex De Minaur (AUS) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniil Medvedev (AIN) | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 809d | wasusdas | Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,450 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 809d | feixiannv | Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,690 | −$47 −1.0% | — |
| 809d |  occasionalAwareness | Novak Djokovic (SRB) | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,703 | +$280 +2.0% | 4 |
| 809d | garbaty234 | Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$102 +2.0% | 4 |
| 810d | LeorRetr0 | Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,487 | −$1,487 −100% | 13 |
| 810d | feixiannv | Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | BuyNo32¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$3,238 +216% | 12 |
| 811d | POLYMARKETISGOOD | Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | −$1,360 −100% | 9 |
| 811d |  Gertzie | Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,242 | −$1,242 −100% | 9 |
| 811d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 812d | 1mperator17 | Alexander Zverev (GER) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$25 +2.0% | 4 |
| 813d | professorx2 fills | Daniil Medvedev (AIN) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,738 | +$28 +0.7% | 4 |
| 813d | LlamaEnjoyer | Daniil Medvedev (AIN) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,914 | +$90 +4.7% | 4 |
| 815d | heeeeez | Other | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | +$63 +4.4% | 4 |
| 815d |  AgricultureSecretary | Alex De Minaur (AUS) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,681 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 816d | Major-ScrewupNew account | Novak Djokovic (SRB) | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 15 |
| 816d | professorx | Alex De Minaur (AUS) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 816d | LeorRetr0 | Alexander Zverev (GER) | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$122 +12% | 5 |
| 817d |  LongLiveJoeBiden | Rafael Nadal (ESP) | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,054 | +$127 +4.2% | 4 |
Tennis Winner (M)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Novak Djokovic (SRB) means the market gives it about 100%.