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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 452d | JulianOnzima | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,356 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 452d |  Ozempic | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,428 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 452d |  diwsowmejkfd | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,816 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 453d | Davidecon | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,046 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 453d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe32 fills | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,355 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 453d | Talrs | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$24 −2.1% | — |
| 453d |  MisTKy3 | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,119 | +$21 +1.0% | 20 |
| 453d | WangHuningismydad | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$281 +9.4% | 21 |
| 453d | Legitimate-SeverityNew account | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 36 |
| 454d | Ikkyu12 fills | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $2,841 | −$2,841 −100% | 22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Thailand and Cambodia between July 24, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Thailand and Cambodia, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Thailand and Cambodia has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
