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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Williams | 100% | +12 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Erin Doherty | 100% | +7 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Patricia Arquette | 0% | −11 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kaitlyn Dever | 0% | −50 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ellen Pompeo | 0% | −49 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robin Wright | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Meghann Fahy | 0% | −50 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Renée Zellweger | 0% | −50 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Laurie Metcalf | 0% | −67 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Betty Gilpin | 0% | −51 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jessica Biel | 0% | −49 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no nominations are announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Michelle Williams means the market gives it about 100%.