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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d | neetbot | The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | BuyInoue>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 175d | Portly-Derivation | The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | SellInoue97¢ → 100¢ | $13,346 | −$443 −3.3% | — |
| 175d | LIQUID8dCAP2 fills | The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | SellInoue93¢ → 100¢ | $4,578 | −$361 −7.9% | — |
| 175d | Faint-Ecosystem | The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | SellInoue>99¢ | $1,325 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Gamestory | The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | SellInoue>99¢ | $4,859 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | momo0011 | The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | SellInoue87¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$153 −14% | — |
| 175d | The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | BuyInoue94¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | +$121 +6.4% | 5 | |
| 175d | sadasaadawdeqw2 fills | The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | SellInoue88¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | −$454 −14% | — |
| 175d | sadasaadawdeqw2 fills | The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | BuyInoue82¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$661 +22% | 7 |
This market will resolve to "Inoue" if Naoya Inoue is officially declared the winner of the fight against Junto Nakatani, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan. It will resolve to "Nakatani" if Junto Nakatani is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese Boxing Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.