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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $24-28m | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$20m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $20-24m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$28m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 899d | professorx | $24-28m | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 899d | professorx2 fills | >$28m | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,451 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 899d | >$28m | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 899d | $24-28m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,665 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 900d | <$20m | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,281 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 900d | $20-24m | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,279 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 900d | $24-28m | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$309 +27% | 10 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $24-28m means the market gives it about 100%.