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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80–89 | 100% | +5 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <60 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60–69 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70–79 | 0% | −2 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90+ | 0% | −4 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 351d | takeme2themoon | 70–79 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,547 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 351d | takeme2themoon | 80–89 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,652 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 351d | Abandoned-Counsel4 fills | 90+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,933 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 351d |  Slowroasted | <60 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,999 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 355d | 0xe921…ac59 | 90+ | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 355d | 0xe921…ac59 | 60–69 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 355d | 0xe921…ac59 | <60 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the Metascore listed on Metacritic for "The Outer Worlds 2" (https://www.metacritic.com/game/the-outer-worlds-2/) as of seven days after the release, at 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. If this game is not released by April 29, 2026, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80–89 means the market gives it about 100%.