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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190-200m | 100% | +24 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <160m | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-170m | 0% | — | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 170-180m | 0% | — | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-190m | 0% | −14 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >200m | 0% | 0 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200d |  aenews22 fills | 190-200m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,104 | +$65 +0.5% | 4 |
| 200d |  enderone | 190-200m | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,077 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d |  The-Joker3 fills | 170-180m | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,187 | −$278 −6.6% | — |
| 200d | enderone | >200m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,059 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d | HouseOfPol | 190-200m | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,971 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d | HouseOfPol | 180-190m | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,060 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 200d | fanat12 | 190-200m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,243 | −$20 −0.9% | — |
| 200d | Mediocre-Mineshaft | 190-200m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 200d | BePhong | 190-200m | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,630 | −$33 −0.9% | — |
| 200d |  degensruletheworld6 fills | 190-200m | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $13,729 | +$18,488 +135% | 10 |
| 200d |  zhangyu1377 | >200m | SellNo>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 200d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | 190-200m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$13 +1.3% | 4 |
| 201d | The-Joker4 fills | >200m | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $6,198 | −$2,297 −37% | — |
| 201d |  Reliable-Council | 190-200m | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | −$100 −5.6% | — |
| 201d |  imnice3 fills | 190-200m | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $11,043 | +$1,785 +16% | 8 |
| 201d | imnice2 fills | 180-190m | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $24,488 | +$3,130 +13% | 7 |
| 201d | gh33 | 180-190m | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,513 | +$1,387 +39% | 12 |
| 201d | influenz.eth | 170-180m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,133 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 201d | influenz.eth | >200m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,133 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 201d | 0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e2 fills | 190-200m | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$5,125 +165% | 12 |
| 201d | degensruletheworld | >200m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,280 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 |
| 201d |  DimitriSlazov | 180-190m | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,629 | +$1,629 +100% | — |
| 201d | BePhong | 180-190m | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,965 | +$1,965 +100% | — |
| 202d | The-Joker2 fills | 170-180m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,667 | +$393 +11% | 5 |
| 202d | aviato2 fills | >200m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,815 | +$83 +0.8% | 4 |
| 202d | 0x955c…990f4 fills | 180-190m | BuyNo43¢ → 100¢ | $9,884 | +$13,210 +134% | 12 |
| 202d |  0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | >200m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$10 +0.8% | 4 |
| 202d | The-Joker | 190-200m | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $1,616 | +$2,180 +135% | 10 |
| 202d | 0x955c…990f2 fills | >200m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,704 | +$65 +1.4% | 4 |
| 202d | Randomfool | >200m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,943 | +$80 +1.0% | 4 |
| 202d | 0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e | 190-200m | SellYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | −$1,703 −166% | — |
| 202d | jinsun... | >200m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,794 | +$72 +2.6% | 4 |
| 202d | 0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e | 180-190m | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$1,398 +82% | 9 |
| 202d | degensruletheworld2 fills | 180-190m | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $2,424 | −$2,424 −100% | 10 |
| 202d | 0xb16D061d8039Fe6E6181c5d54A | 180-190m | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $2,955 | +$2,045 +69% | 9 |
| 202d | 2daoqian | 180-190m | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$2,850 +90% | 9 |
| 203d | 0x955c…990f3 fills | 180-190m | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $6,395 | −$6,395 −100% | 8 |
| 203d |  WordleAddict | 180-190m | SellYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | +$1,650 +100% | — |
| 203d | bunnyhunter | 190-200m | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,411 | −$2,411 −100% | 9 |
| 203d | 0x955c…990f2 fills | 160-170m | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,616 | +$46 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | 0x955c…990f | <160m | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,857 | +$17 +0.1% | 4 |
| 203d | The-Joker2 fills | >200m | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,210 | +$584 +18% | 5 |
| 203d |  New.Jeans | 190-200m | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | +$3,355 +156% | 11 |
| 204d | degensruletheworld | 170-180m | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,137 | +$700 +14% | 5 |
| 204d | The-Joker | 180-190m | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $1,720 | −$1,720 −100% | 7 |
| 204d | jinsun...3 fills | 160-170m | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,392 | +$125 +3.7% | 4 |
| 204d | bunnyhunter | 190-200m | BuyYes23¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$4,500 +335% | 8 |
| 204d | Loafingtree13we | <160m | SellNo100¢ | $1,527 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 204d | Randomfool | <160m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,504 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 205d | WordleAddict4 fills | >200m | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $6,669 | +$4,152 +62% | 4 |
| 205d | The-Joker | >200m | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,465 | −$1,465 −100% | 8 |
| 205d | degensruletheworld | >200m | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,161 | −$1,286 −25% | — |
| 206d | crckr | >200m | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,343 | −$1,343 −100% | 8 |
| 206d | Melody6262 fills | >200m | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,034 | +$1,452 +29% | 5 |
| 206d | 0x5095e97281f28d4d8549fd3834802c24cbb793e | >200m | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,460 | −$1,460 −100% | 8 |
| 207d | enderone | <160m | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$115 +6.9% | 4 |
| 208d | ShawnReeves1286 | 160-170m | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$167 +15% | 4 |
| 208d | TraceyGalvan3507 | 170-180m | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | +$307 +20% | 4 |
| 208d | RandyYoung3366 | 170-180m | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | +$317 +20% | 4 |
| 209d |  Wickier3 fills | >200m | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $12,347 | −$12,347 −100% | 10 |
Tipsmark8 shares
Exp3L5 shares
labistiiia369 shares
Lavincey322 sharesThis market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 190-200m means the market gives it about 100%.