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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 23% | −1 pts | −12 pts | 20¢ · 26¢ (6¢) | — | in 69d |
| $700M | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $1B | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $300M | 20% | −2 pts | −1 pts | 13¢ · 26¢ (13¢) | $30 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | gydmasg | $300M | BuyNo70¢ → 81¢ | $1,109 | +$166 +15% | 7 |
| 30d | starboyreborn | $300M | SellNo71¢ → 81¢ | $2,125 | −$290 −14% | — |
| 59d | Choroo | $100M | SellNo72¢ → 77¢ | $1,486 | −$103 −6.9% | — |
| 66d | Odd-Relish | $100M | SellNo78¢ → 77¢ | $2,496 | +$32 +1.3% | — |
| 71d | BaoC | $100M | SellYes43¢ → 23¢ | $1,461 | +$683 +47% | — |
| 113d | BaoC | $100M | BuyYes64¢ → 23¢ | $1,739 | −$1,114 −64% | 2 |
| 327d | imjustalarp | $300M | BuyYes55¢ → 20¢ | $1,500 | −$971 −65% | 7 |
| 327d | imjustalarp | $100M | BuyYes94¢ → 23¢ | $1,500 | −$1,135 −76% | 2 |
twe2nty1,689 shares
alanhutton1,030 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Theo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 23¢ for $100M means the market gives it about 23%.