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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 100% | +21 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joe Rogan | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person/Thing C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person/Thing D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person/Thing E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 680d |  Ezypzy | Donald Trump | SellYes>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 681d | goingsocial | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,136 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 681d | goingsocial2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,625 | +$602 +7.9% | 20 |
| 681d | cigarettes | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,287 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 681d | cigarettes | AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,211 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 681d | Ordon2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,742 | +$30 +0.1% | 20 |
| 681d | longtern | AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,612 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 681d | Nahhhhhh | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,171 | +$22 +0.2% | 20 |
| 681d | zxdfe11 | AI | SellNo>99¢ | $1,395 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 681d | zxdfe11 | AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,396 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 681d |  iamhungry | Donald Trump | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,028 | +$45 +0.5% | 20 |
| 681d |  KimJonEn | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,630 | +$47 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d |  pirateshere | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,963 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d |  Slowroasted | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$16 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d | Whodis | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$51 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d | yuv1410 | Donald Trump | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,597 | −$36 −1.4% | — |
| 681d | Pastel-Dozen | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | +$19 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d |  LastChanceSaloon | Kamala Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,426 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 681d | LastChanceSaloon2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,028 | +$115 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d | Alder | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,060 | +$145 +1.1% | 20 |
| 681d | Qtyu2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,800 | +$200 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d | abeautifulmind4 fills | AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,911 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 681d |  456ythgbvcadscvb2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d |  agsgsggsfudhhwueh | Donald Trump | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,212 | −$47 −1.1% | — |
| 681d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 681d | agsgsggsfudhhwueh | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,216 | +$43 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d | LiquidElk | Elon Musk | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,396 | −$30 −0.6% | — |
| 681d | lantern-506 | Elon Musk | SellNo>99¢ | $10,441 | −$51 −0.5% | — |
| 681d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,916 | +$46 +1.2% | 20 |
| 681d |  Justitia7 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,600 | +$119 +1.1% | 20 |
| 681d | BreadGet | Donald Trump | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | −$19 −1.6% | — |
| 681d | Justitia | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo>99¢ | $1,061 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 681d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,245 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 681d | zzyx | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$13 +1.1% | 20 |
| 681d | Frigid-Bathroom | Donald Trump | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,359 | −$35 −1.5% | — |
| 681d | 0x1d57F5BD3096f21B8ccB254C0b6945582B9ABD6 | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,687 | +$51 +1.9% | 20 |
| 681d |  SiO23 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,477 | −$135 −3.0% | — |
| 681d | abeautifulmind2 fills | Joe Biden | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,013 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 681d | OPMSucks | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,910 | +$90 +1.5% | 20 |
| 681d | bartmenendez | Donald Trump | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,843 | −$56 −2.0% | — |
| 681d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Kamala Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 681d |  debased | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,431 | +$12 +0.8% | 20 |
| 681d | DEGENKHAN | AI | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,364 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 681d | rpo | Kamala Harris | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,189 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 681d |  tsybka | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 681d | PolymarketTest-411 | Donald Trump | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,669 | −$50 −3.0% | — |
| 681d | Juczi | Donald Trump | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,257 | −$31 −2.5% | — |
| 681d | debased | Joe Rogan | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$9 +0.7% | 20 |
| 681d |  Erasmus.2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,449 | +$229 +2.2% | 20 |
| 681d |  MMousse | Donald Trump | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$23 +2.0% | 20 |
| 681d | Erasmus. | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | +$17 +1.1% | 20 |
| 681d |  BustedCungly | Donald Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,136 | +$66 +3.1% | 20 |
| 681d |  carp | Donald Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | +$47 +3.1% | 20 |
| 681d | carp | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,419 | +$124 +3.6% | 20 |
| 681d |  Axios3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,933 | +$267 +5.4% | 20 |
| 681d | Cbarbhwux | Donald Trump | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $6,249 | +$1,394 +22% | 20 |
| 681d | lantern-506 | Elon Musk | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,483 | +$696 +7.3% | 20 |
| 682d | romanchain | Donald Trump | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$312 +27% | 20 |
| 682d | bartmenendez | Donald Trump | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,348 | +$551 +23% | 20 |
| 682d | LiquidElk14 fills | Elon Musk | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $39,648 | +$1,757 +4.4% | 20 |
TimeTraveler1,500 sharesThis is a market on who will be named Time Magazine's Person of the Year in 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 100%.