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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | +21 pts | −23 pts | — · 55¢ | — | ended |
| Vincent Keymer | 100% | +54 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aleksei Sarana | 100% | +48 pts | +6 pts | 12¢ · 100¢ (88¢) | — | ended |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 100% | +84 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hans Niemann | 100% | +41 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 100¢ (94¢) | — | ended |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 0% | −1 pts | −27 pts | — · 47¢ | — | ended |
| Frederik Svane | 0% | +2 pts | −6 pts | — · 87¢ | — | ended |
| Magnus Carlsen | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | +26 pts | −4 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Denis Lazavik | 0% | +37 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Sina Movahed | 0% | −14 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Aravindh Chithambaram | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Esipenko | 0% | +37 pts | −6 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Alireza Firouzja | 0% | +38 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Grischuk | 0% | −48 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Aleksandar Indjic | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Aleksandr Shimanov | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Bok | 0% | +40 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Bardiya Daneshvar | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Bogdan-Daniel Deac | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Cristobal Henriquez Villagra | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dmitry Andreikin | 0% | +36 pts | −6 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| David Anton | 0% | −47 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dau Khuong Duy | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Dincer Tasdogen | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Faustino Oro | 0% | −51 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Haik Martirosyan | 0% | +11 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Haowen Xue | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Jose Martinez | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Jules Moussard | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Jeffery Xiong | 0% | +32 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Levon Aronian | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Le Tuan Minh | 0% | +38 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Matthias Bluebaum | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 0% | +37 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · 90¢ | — | ended |
| Nihal Sarin | 0% | −7 pts | −6 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Nikolas Theodorou | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Oleksandr Bortnyk | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 0% | +37 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Pranesh Munirethinam | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Pranav Venkatesh | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Renato Terry Lujan | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Rudik Makarian | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Rasmus Svane | 0% | −49 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Sevian | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 95¢ | — | ended |
| Sergey Sklokin | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei | 0% | −47 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shamsiddin Vokhidov | 0% | −49 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Volen Dyulgerov | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Wesley So | 100% | +3 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 100¢ (94¢) | — | ended |
| Yoseph Theolifus Taher | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Zhamsaran Tsydypov | 0% | +36 pts | −4 pts | — · 93¢ | — | ended |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Ding Liren | 0% | −6 pts | −6 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Wei Yi | 0% | −6 pts | −6 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 0% | −6 pts | −6 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Brandon Jacobson | 0% | −50 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Christopher Yoo | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Awonder Liang | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Tang | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Tuomas Turunen | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53d | Vincent Keymer | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on September 1, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Hikaru Nakamura means the market gives it about 0%.