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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Sarana | 100% | +75 pts | +42 pts | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | in 11d |
| Haik Martirosyan | 0% | −4 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 100% | +48 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 11d |
| Dmitry Andreikin | 100% | +81 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 11d |
| Vincent Keymer | 100% | +79 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 11d |
| Hans Niemann | 0% | −13 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 0% | −4 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −7 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Andrey Esipenko | 0% | +3 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Sina Movahed | 100% | +72 pts | +42 pts | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | in 11d |
| Wesley So | 0% | −5 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Magnus Carlsen | 0% | −6 pts | −42 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | −18 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Denis Lazavik | 0% | −15 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Aravindh Chithambaram | 0% | −6 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Alireza Firouzja | 100% | +80 pts | +42 pts | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | in 11d |
| Alexander Grischuk | 0% | −1 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Aleksandar Indjic | 0% | +3 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Aleksandr Shimanov | 0% | +5 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Benjamin Bok | 0% | +4 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Bardiya Daneshvar | 0% | +3 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Bogdan-Daniel Deac | 0% | −3 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 11d |
| Cristobal Henriquez Villagra | 0% | +6 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 11d |
| David Anton | 0% | +1 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Dau Khuong Duy | 0% | −2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Dincer Tasdogen | 0% | +3 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Faustino Oro | 0% | +2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Frederik Svane | 0% | +1 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Haowen Xue | 0% | −5 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −8 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 0% | −9 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Jose Martinez | 0% | −5 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Jules Moussard | 0% | +3 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 0% | −10 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Jeffery Xiong | 0% | −7 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Levon Aronian | 0% | −2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Le Tuan Minh | 100% | +80 pts | +42 pts | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | in 11d |
| Matthias Bluebaum | 0% | +2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 100% | +77 pts | +42 pts | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | in 11d |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | −6 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Nihal Sarin | 0% | −14 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Nikolas Theodorou | 0% | −6 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Oleksandr Bortnyk | 0% | +2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 0% | −2 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 11d |
| Pranesh Munirethinam | 0% | +2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu | 0% | −7 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Pranav Venkatesh | 0% | −1 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Renato Terry Lujan | 0% | — | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Rudik Makarian | 0% | −2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Rasmus Svane | 0% | +3 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Sam Sevian | 0% | −3 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Sergey Sklokin | 0% | +5 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei | 0% | +2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Shamsiddin Vokhidov | 0% | −1 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 11d |
| Volen Dyulgerov | 0% | +7 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 11d |
| Yoseph Theolifus Taher | 0% | +2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Zhamsaran Tsydypov | 0% | −8 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0% | +6 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 11d |
| Ding Liren | 0% | +6 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 11d |
| Wei Yi | 0% | +6 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 11d |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 0% | +1 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Brandon Jacobson | 0% | −4 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 11d |
| Christopher Yoo | 0% | +1 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Awonder Liang | 0% | −4 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Andrew Tang | 0% | +2 pts | −41 pts | — · 18¢ | — | in 11d |
| Tuomas Turunen | 0% | +9 pts | −40 pts | — · 19¢ | — | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | Aleksei Sarana | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,940 | −$1,940 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 20, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Aleksei Sarana means the market gives it about 100%.