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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 100% | +94 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Magnus Carlsen | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sina Movahed | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aravindh Chithambaram | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Esipenko | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Grischuk | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aleksandar Indjic | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aleksei Sarana | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aleksandr Shimanov | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Bok | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bardiya Daneshvar | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bogdan-Daniel Deac | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristobal Henriquez Villagra | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dmitry Andreikin | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dau Khuong Duy | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denis Lazavik | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dincer Tasdogen | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Faustino Oro | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frederik Svane | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Haik Martirosyan | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hans Niemann | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jose Martinez | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jules Moussard | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeffery Xiong | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Levon Aronian | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Le Tuan Minh | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matthias Bluebaum | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nihal Sarin | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nikolas Theodorou | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oleksandr Bortnyk | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pranesh Munirethinam | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pranav Venkatesh | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Renato Terry Lujan | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rasmus Svane | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sam Sevian | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sergey Sklokin | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shamsiddin Vokhidov | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vincent Keymer | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wesley So | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yoseph Theolifus Taher | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zhamsaran Tsydypov | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95d | enigmaexpert | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,648 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 97d | namemek | Hikaru Nakamura | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | −$390 −32% | — |
bjprolo5 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on July 21, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Maxime Vachier-Lagrave means the market gives it about 100%.