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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis | 1% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 95d |
| Jarrett Stidham | 1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 95d |
| Baker Mayfield | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 95d |
| Dak Prescott | 31% | — | −3 pts | 12¢ · 49¢ (37¢) | — | in 95d |
| Shedeur Sanders | 3% | — | — | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 95d |
| Aaron Rodgers | 3% | — | −3 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 95d |
| Geno Smith | 5% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 95d |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 2% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 95d |
| Ty Simpson | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 95d |
| Justin Fields | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 95d |
| Cam Ward | 3% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 95d |
| Tyson Bagent | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 95d |
| Jared Goff | 46% | −6 pts | −12 pts | 41¢ · 50¢ (9¢) | — | in 95d |
| Patrick Mahomes | 30% | — | +11 pts | 11¢ · 48¢ (37¢) | — | in 95d |
| Sam Darnold | 5% | — | −2 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 95d |
| C.J. Stroud | 23% | −7 pts | +19 pts | 2¢ · 45¢ (43¢) | — | in 95d |
| Deshaun Watson | 3% | — | −5 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 95d |
| Joe Flacco | 1% | −1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 95d |
| Fernando Mendoza | 50% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · >99¢ (99¢) | — | in 95d |
| Jameis Winston | 4% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | — | in 95d |
| Jaxson Dart | <1% | −1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 95d |
| Kyler Murray | 1% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 95d |
| Jacoby Brissett | 3% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 95d |
| Marcus Mariota | 3% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 95d |
| J.J. McCarthy | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 95d |
| Mac Jones | 2% | +1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 95d |
| Sam Howell | 2% | 0 pts | −5 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 95d |
| Tommy DeVito | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 95d |
| Carson Beck | 47% | 0 pts | +42 pts | 1¢ · 94¢ (93¢) | — | in 95d |
| Tyler Shough | 37% | +9 pts | −14 pts | 4¢ · 69¢ (65¢) | — | in 95d |
| Bo Nix | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 95d |
| Michael Penix Jr. | 50% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · >99¢ (100¢) | — | in 95d |
| Lamar Jackson | 9% | — | −7 pts | 3¢ · 15¢ (12¢) | — | in 95d |
| Anthony Richardson Sr. | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 95d |
| Josh Allen | 51% | 0 pts | −45 pts | 2¢ · >99¢ (98¢) | — | in 95d |
| Jake Browning | 2% | 0 pts | −48 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 95d |
| Brock Purdy | 81% | — | +19 pts | 63¢ · 99¢ (36¢) | — | in 95d |
| Daniel Jones | 3% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 95d |
| Jayden Daniels | 50% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · >99¢ (99¢) | — | in 95d |
| Jalen Hurts | 4% | — | −7 pts | 2¢ · 6¢ (4¢) | — | in 95d |
| Bryce Young | 26% | — | −6 pts | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | in 95d |
| Matthew Stafford | 50% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 95d |
| Drake Maye | 51% | — | — | 2¢ · 99¢ (97¢) | — | in 95d |
| Trevor Lawrence | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 95d |
| Joe Burrow | 50% | — | +2 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 95d |
| Nick Mullens | 1% | 0 pts | −4 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $31 | in 95d |
| Caleb Williams | 50% | — | +2 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 95d |
| Justin Herbert | 50% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 95d |
| Jordan Love | 50% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 95d |
| Kirk Cousins | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 95d |
Dr.PNL298 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 5 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports. Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No". Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 5 would qualify for the top 5, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 5 quarterbacks are classified as top 5. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (https://www.espn.com/fantasy/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for Malik Willis means the market gives it about 1%.