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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Swift | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drake | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Weeknd | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Billie Eilish | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bad Bunny | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bruno Mars | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 689d | TheBoyBilly...3 fills | Taylor Swift | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,886 | +$76 +0.7% | 4 |
| 689d | TheBoyBilly... | Drake | BuyNo>99¢ | $52,540 | +$53 +0.1% | 4 |
| 689d | AMM | Drake | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,493 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 689d | TheBoyBilly... | The Weeknd | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,576 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 689d | TheBoyBilly... | Bad Bunny | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 689d | Taylor Swift | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,577 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 689d | Taylor Swift | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,887 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 689d | cigarettes3 fills | Drake | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,647 | +$26 +0.5% | 4 |
| 689d | cigarettes3 fills | Bruno Mars | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,665 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 689d | cigarettes3 fills | Bad Bunny | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,667 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 689d | cigarettes3 fills | The Weeknd | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,665 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 689d | cigarettes3 fills | Billie Eilish | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,654 | +$19 +0.3% | 4 |
| 689d | Taylor Swift | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,123 | +$20 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 689d | Drake | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,553 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 689d | Taylor Swift | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,094 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 689d | cigarettes2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,225 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 689d | TheBoyBilly... | Billie Eilish | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,835 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 690d | BeN | Taylor Swift | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,563 | +$37 +2.4% | 4 |
| 690d | Drake | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | −$12 −1.1% | — | |
| 690d | Taylor Swift | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,202 | −$61 −2.8% | — | |
| 691d | pantomime3 fills | Taylor Swift | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,947 | +$126 +3.2% | 4 |
| 691d | Taylor Swift | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,003 | +$84 +2.1% | 4 | |
| 693d | Drake | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$15 −1.3% | — | |
| 695d | Taylor Swift | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$114 +8.7% | 4 | |
| 696d | Billie Eilish | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
This is a market on identifying the top Spotify artist for the year 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Taylor Swift means the market gives it about 100%.