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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >2.2 trillion | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| <1.8 trillion | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 1.8-1.9 trillion | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 1.9-2.0 trillion | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 2.1-2.2 trillion | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 2.0-2.1 trillion | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 966d | Ponj | >2.2 trillion | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,983 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 966d | >2.2 trillion | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$8 −0.7% | — | |
| 966d | degenprincess | >2.2 trillion | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 966d | >2.2 trillion | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 967d | >2.2 trillion | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | −$48 −4.2% | — | |
| 979d | 100xGamba | >2.2 trillion | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 2 |
| 979d | <1.8 trillion | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$680 +14% | 2 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >2.2 trillion means the market gives it about 100%.