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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 588d |  Burnmoneyuser | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,378 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 592d | Gennedy | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellNo100¢ | $5,599 | −$28 −0.5% | — |
| 593d | Gennedy | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,618 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 593d | VvVv2 fills | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,069 | +$15 +0.5% | 4 |
| 600d |  TelegramTeleblog | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,956 | −$44 −2.3% | — |
| 617d | LeoXIV | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$39 +2.5% | 4 |
| 653d |  Libitum2 fills | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,531 | −$50 −2.0% | — |
| 655d | Lavs3838 | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | −$38 −2.5% | — |
| 655d | FamilyMart | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | +$18 +1.0% | 4 |
| 655d |  macrosteaks | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | −$18 −1.5% | — |
| 675d | Mnxhhsfff | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $6,900 | +$6,900 +100% | — |
| 675d | traskcccc | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $7,700 | +$3,300 +43% | 4 |
| 675d | KMmcjsjf | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $8,400 | +$3,600 +43% | 4 |
| 675d | Juscgvvv | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellYes31¢ → 0¢ | $8,060 | +$8,060 +100% | — |
| 675d | usdkck | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $8,970 | +$4,030 +45% | 4 |
| 675d | DINGcmtg | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $8,970 | +$4,030 +45% | 4 |
| 675d | Mxcjgggg | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $8,960 | +$8,960 +100% | — |
| 675d | Ksjtcgvvv2 fills | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $16,320 | +$7,680 +47% | 4 |
| 675d | mcsdggg | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $9,520 | +$4,480 +47% | 4 |
| 675d | mcsdggg | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $8,000 | +$8,000 +100% | — |
| 675d | Mxcjgggg | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $10,200 | +$4,800 +47% | 4 |
| 675d | Ksmcyhj | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $8,510 | +$8,510 +100% | — |
| 675d | Bksccccc | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $6,930 | +$4,070 +59% | 4 |
| 675d | stkcidng | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $7,560 | +$4,440 +59% | 4 |
| 675d | Mkslcccc | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $9,849 | −$10,251 −104% | — |
| 675d | Msncgbb | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $5,151 | −$5,151 −100% | 4 |
| 675d | KKKSmscccc | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $5,100 | −$5,100 −100% | 4 |
| 676d | Ksmcgyb | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $5,635 | −$5,865 −104% | — |
| 676d | kSKCMMT2 fills | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $5,100 | −$5,100 −100% | 4 |
| 676d | tcjsjgll | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $3,315 | −$3,315 −100% | 4 |
| 676d | tcjsjgll | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | SellNo49¢ → 100¢ | $5,880 | −$6,120 −104% | — |
| 676d | Ksmcgyb | Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April? | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $3,570 | −$3,570 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a motion of no confidence passes in the Canadian House of Commons while Justin Trudeau is serving as prime minister between December 15, 2024, and March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Motions of no confidence that are voted on but do not pass the House of Commons will not count toward the resolution of this market. If Justin Trudeau ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time prior to a motion of no confidence passing, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.