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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's polling margin between himself and the second place candidate is 12% or greater in Anne Selzer's final Iowa 2024 presidential election poll. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no Selzer poll is published by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for the market will be the final Selzer Iowa 2024 presidential election poll.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.