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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 562d |  Eridpnc | Trump pauses all reciprocal tariffs other than China before Wednesday? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$12 +1.1% | 20 |
| 562d |  MisTKy3 | Trump pauses all reciprocal tariffs other than China before Wednesday? | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,910 | −$1,910 −100% | 20 |
| 563d | okcoolstorybro2 fills | Trump pauses all reciprocal tariffs other than China before Wednesday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,967 | +$43 +0.4% | 20 |
Fartard1,000 sharesOn April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU) scheduled to go into effect on April 9, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT. See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces a pause, delay, or removal of all country specific reciprocal tariffs other than those placed on China by April 9, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any announcement within this market's time frame will qualify regardless of if/when the policy goes into effect. An announcement of a pause, delay, or removal of all country specific reciprocal tariffs including China will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.