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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +74 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 773d | ParthMehta | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,405 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 773d | quackerandqj | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,251 | −$93 −1.0% | — |
| 773d | autismo6900 | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,225 | −$118 −1.1% | — |
| 773d | enerji | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 773d | Faky007 | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 773d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | −$15 −1.0% | — | |
| 773d | BlitzschnellCapitalAdvisorsLLP | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 773d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,342 | +$103 +3.1% | 4 | |
| 773d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$180 +4.5% | 4 | |
| 773d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$1,234 +102% | 4 | |
| 773d | FutureWolfofPoly2 fills | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo70¢ → 0¢ | $2,238 | −$2,238 −100% | 4 |
| 773d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | SellYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$2,330 −232% | — | |
| 773d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,511 | −$1,511 −100% | 4 | |
| 773d | X2024 | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,774 | −$2,774 −100% | 4 |
| 774d | lug2 fills | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $2,560 | −$2,560 −100% | 11 |
| 774d | autismo6900 | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$3,950 +132% | 13 |
| 774d | Rumsfeld | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,501 | −$2,501 −100% | 11 |
| 774d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,294 | −$1,294 −100% | 11 | |
| 774d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | SellYes23¢ → 100¢ | $2,494 | −$8,408 −337% | — | |
| 775d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $3,413 | −$3,413 −100% | 8 | |
| 776d | InsiderrrZ | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,244 | −$1,244 −100% | 9 |
| 776d | 0x086ed6dc8e4f984ab440275fa19947b2865662ae2 fills | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $2,264 | −$2,264 −100% | 9 |
| 777d | jl31287762 fills | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $4,427 | −$4,427 −100% | 4 |
| 778d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $4,931 | +$12,997 +264% | 13 | |
| 784d | wlkr12 fills | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $2,673 | −$2,673 −100% | 4 |
| 789d | Chad-Wasp | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 4 |
| 790d | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyYes22¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$3,904 +356% | 4 | |
| 791d | cho-lee | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $4,405 | −$4,405 −100% | 4 |
| 794d | Ineedhole2 fills | Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $3,693 | −$3,693 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Kamala Harris shake hands at any point immediately before, during, or immediately after their first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". For the handshake to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, it must occur within the room that the debate takes place in. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.