Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +26 pts | +96 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 558d | Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,003 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 558d | Ordon | Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 558d | iamgone | Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,916 | +$48 +0.6% | 20 |
| 558d | Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,473 | +$27 +0.6% | 20 | |
| 558d | Trump announces buffer zone on Mexico border before May? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,088 | +$25 +0.6% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be establishing a militarized buffer zone along the US-Mexico border by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, announcements of a partial implementation, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus from credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.