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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483d | Trump cabinet member out before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | −$35 −2.7% | — | |
| 484d | Trump cabinet member out before July? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | +$69 +5.3% | 4 | |
| 484d | PaidBettor2 fills | Trump cabinet member out before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,046 | −$130 −4.3% | — |
| 484d | Trump cabinet member out before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$42 +3.2% | 4 | |
| 485d | PaidBettor | Trump cabinet member out before July? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$468 +38% | 6 |
| 485d | Trump cabinet member out before July? | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $3,521 | −$3,521 −100% | 9 | |
| 485d | SHIVA2 fills | Trump cabinet member out before July? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,639 | +$573 +22% | 4 |
| 485d | IBT | Trump cabinet member out before July? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,904 | +$455 +16% | 5 |
| 499d | Trump cabinet member out before July? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | +$349 +23% | 4 | |
| 512d | 1ock | Trump cabinet member out before July? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$241 +19% | 4 |
| 541d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Trump cabinet member out before July? | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $2,559 | −$2,559 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count. Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position. Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.