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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d | Gamblrx3 | Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,172 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 630d |  Bang... | Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 632d |  SerGamblesalot | Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | +$23 +1.9% | 10 |
| 633d | NightWalk1 | Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | −$30 −2.6% | — |
| 634d | NightWalk1 | Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$153 +15% | 12 |
| 640d | 0x1d57F5BD3096f21B8ccB254C0b6945582B9ABD6 | Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$142 +14% | 10 |
| 641d |  GoriIIa | Trump cabinet nominee withdrawn in January? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,905 | +$618 +21% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one individual nominated by Donald Trump for a cabinet-level position requiring Senate confirmation is withdrawn between January 1, ET and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. Any individual who Trump has announced an intention to nominate will be considered nominated. Similarly, announcements from the nominee or Trump or one of his representatives that the nominee will be withdrawn will qualify for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.