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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 100% | +53 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | +24 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 267d | yougotme | March 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,122 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 267d | Michael5289 | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,178 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 267d |  bamesjond | March 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$9 +0.7% | 4 |
| 267d | bamesjond | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$13 +1.0% | 4 |
| 267d |  .jeet | March 31 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$251 +23% | 4 |
defidegen42069400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 100%.