Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 530d | Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,221 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 530d | Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,158 | +$54 +1.7% | 4 | |
| 530d | Supershy | Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,908 | +$16 +0.9% | 4 |
| 533d | Tazmir | Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday? | SellNo33¢ → 0¢ | $18,572 | +$18,572 +100% | — |
| 533d | Evaron | Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $37,738 | +$18,588 +49% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any executive order by May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that directs his administration to implement a "most favored nation" policy for drug pricing—defined as tying the price the U.S. government pays for certain prescription drugs (e.g., under Medicare or Medicaid) to the lower prices paid in other developed countries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.