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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 783d | FalC0N | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,034 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 784d | 0xfe91…70ff5 fills | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $9,356 | +$1,254 +13% | 4 |
| 785d | mmmpieee | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | −$26 −1.6% | — |
| 787d |  Squee3 fills | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,064 | +$469 +12% | 4 |
| 788d |  truthteller2 fills | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,726 | +$671 +12% | 4 |
| 788d | Wiz_0066 | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,413 | +$87 +3.6% | 4 |
| 797d | International-Immobiliare | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,922 | +$504 +17% | 4 |
| 797d |  size | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$223 −20% | — |
| 799d |  NJFG4L2 fills | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $4,997 | −$4,997 −100% | 9 |
| 800d | size | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $2,171 | +$1,061 +49% | 4 |
| 800d | RD29 | Trump fires campaign manager in August? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,604 | +$1,063 +41% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Chris LaCivita or Susie Wiles is fired or otherwise removed from their position as Campaign manager in the Trump campaign. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an announcement on the firing of either individual is not made by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note that if either one is relegated to a lower position that isn't "Campaign manager", it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Note that an announcement before the end date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when the departure takes effect. Voluntarily leaving or announcement of resignation also counts for this market to resolve to "Yes." Confirmation should come from an official announcement made by the Trump Campaign, however a definitive consensus of credible media sources may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.