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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515d | Retired-Davis2 fills | Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,150 | −$203 −4.9% | — |
| 528d | Gethigher | Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 531d |  elmcap2 | Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $25,133 | +$258 +1.0% | 20 |
| 560d | Retired-Davis | Trump imposes 200% tariff on China before June? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$667 +33% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 200% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 200% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.