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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70+ | 100% | +70 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20 | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 20-29 | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30-39 | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-49 | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50-59 | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60-69 | 0% | −50 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793d | professorx | 70+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 793d | 70+ | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,436 | +$269 +2.9% | 20 |
This is a market over how many times "Trump" will be said at the DNC on day 3.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 70+ means the market gives it about 100%.